Research predicts online sales of £45 billion in 2014

The study, which includes the results of phone interviews with 100 major retailers and 9,000 consumers and was conducted by the Centre for Retail Research, forecasts that online sales in the US will grow by 15% in 2014 to £189.3 billion, while led by the UK in Europe, sales are expected to rise by 18% to £131.2 billion.

The UK, alongside France, and Germany, are projected to be responsible for the bulk of this growth in Europe, accounting for 81% of the online sales in the eight European markets expected in 2014. 

The study confirmed the UK is the largest e-commerce market in Europe, with sales of £38.8 billion 2013. And it is expected to account for more than a third (34%) of all online retail sales in the eight European markets surveyed in 2014. The report forecasts that £45 billion will be spent online in the UK in 2014 – an increase of 16% on online consumer spend compared to the previous year.

 

The research also found that 46% of Europeans and 55% of Americans now shop online. Online shopping is particularly popular in Sweden and the UK where more than two-thirds of the population make purchases on the web; 71% of Swedes and 67% of Brits use the internet to shop. 

While growing, online shopping is less popular in southern Europe; one in five people shop online in Italy (20%), while one in three (32%) use the internet to shop in Spain. Around half of people in France (52%), Poland (51%), Netherlands (49%) and Germany (45%) shop online.

 

It also revealed that most consumers expect to shop online at least once a month in 2014. On average, European shoppers will make 15.2 online purchases this year with a typical basket size of £49, while American shoppers will make 15.6 online purchases, with an average spend of £71. In the UK, shoppers are expected to make 18.0 purchases online this year, spending an average of £59 each time.

 

Throughout 2014, European shoppers are expected to spend £749 online, an increase of 18% compared to 2013, while American shoppers are expected to spend £1,106 online, on average – 14.4% more than in 2013. In the UK, shoppers are expected to spend £1,071 on the web this year – 15.8% more than last year.

Giulio Montemagno, international senior vice president at RetailMeNot, commented that maturing of German, UK and US markets is still driving growth, as shopping online becomes a commonplace activity. “Today, growth is being mainly driven by an increase in the frequency of consumers shopping online and spending more money through online channels, while in previous years e-commerce growth came primarily from an ever-growing number of first time online shoppers,” he said.

“In 2014, we are expecting to see online sales across Europe grow at a rate that is 11.9 times faster than instore sales. In the UK, online retail is expected to increase by 15.8% this year, while the offline segment will grow by only 2.4%.” 

Online retailers accounted for 6.3% of all retail sales in Europe in 2013 and 10.6% in the US, and in 2014, this share is set to grow to 7.2% and 11.6%, respectively. In the UK, the research found that the internet accounted for 12.1% of all retail sales last year and this is expected to grow to 13.5% in 2014.

Montemagno added: “With such a competitive retail environment it’s more important than ever that retailers look to mobile devices and the web to incentivise shoppers to make purchases online and instore. Successful retailers will consider the internet not as a threat but as a powerful complement which can help them increase their sales. ”

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